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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
FC Koln
21.0%
Draw
56.5%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

FC Koln

vs
1.99

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
0-0
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).