Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Stuttgart
24.1%
Draw
42.3%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Stuttgart
vs
1.77
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).