Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Rostov
33.0%
Draw
7.7%
Fakel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Rostov
vs
0.28
Fakel
Markets
BTTS17.9%
Over 0.576.2%
Over 1.544.3%
Over 2.518.5%
Over 3.56.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
26.4%
0-0
23.8%
2-0
16.3%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
4-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
0-2
0.9%
2-2
0.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).