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02 May 2026 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.5%
Ipswich
19.4%
Draw
13.1%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.33

Ipswich

vs
0.95

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).