Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Oxford
23.5%
Draw
43.6%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Oxford
vs
1.47
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).