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AHT: 01CSV

21 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.2%
Crewe
25.1%
Draw
39.7%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Crewe

vs
1.37

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).