Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Celta
26.4%
Draw
23.4%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Celta
vs
0.95
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).