Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
Roma
24.1%
Draw
18.6%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Roma
vs
0.81
Genoa
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).