Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Man United
29.5%
Draw
21.3%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Man United
vs
0.69
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.6%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.0%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).