Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
Ipswich
21.7%
Draw
12.9%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Ipswich
vs
0.80
West Brom
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).