Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.4%
Morecambe
17.5%
Draw
74.1%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Morecambe
vs
2.36
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.2%
0-1
10.5%
0-3
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
6.1%
0-0
5.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-5
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).