Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.9%
Sochi
22.8%
Draw
60.3%
CSKA Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Sochi
vs
2.09
CSKA Moskva
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
0-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).