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HHT: 00CSV

22 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.9%
Braintree Town
33.1%
Draw
41.9%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Braintree Town

vs
1.13

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS38.5%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.6%
0-1
15.2%
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).