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AHT: 12CSV

19 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.0%
Reims
22.3%
Draw
57.7%
Marseille

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Reims

vs
1.81

Marseille

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.6%
1-1
10.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
2.9%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).