Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Wigan
26.9%
Draw
29.4%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Wigan
vs
0.94
Burton
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).