Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
AVS
27.4%
Draw
52.4%
Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
AVS
vs
1.55
Nacional
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.9%
0-2
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).