Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Caen
23.9%
Draw
30.7%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Caen
vs
1.15
Niort
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).