⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 10CSV

28 Apr 2019

Getafe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.8%
Sociedad
30.3%
Draw
25.0%
Getafe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Sociedad

vs
0.83

Getafe

Markets

BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.5%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).