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AHT: 01CSV

03 May 2023 · 17:00

Torino

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.6%
Sampdoria
23.4%
Draw
54.9%
Torino

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Sampdoria

vs
1.72

Torino

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).