Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.1%
Newcastle
15.6%
Draw
6.3%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Newcastle
vs
0.67
Leicester
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
5-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).