Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.8%
Lille
13.2%
Draw
6.0%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
Lille
vs
0.54
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
3-0
12.6%
1-0
12.0%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
1-1
6.2%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
4.0%
0-1
2.7%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).