Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Benevento
25.4%
Draw
57.3%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Benevento
vs
1.77
Venezia
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).