Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Cremonese
27.7%
Draw
28.0%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Cremonese
vs
0.97
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).