Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.1%
Burnley
16.5%
Draw
2.4%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Burnley
vs
0.19
Wigan
Markets
BTTS15.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
22.4%
1-0
22.0%
3-0
15.0%
0-0
11.5%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
5-0
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
0-1
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).