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04 May 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.7%
Samsunspor
28.7%
Draw
48.7%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Samsunspor

vs
1.79

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
1-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).