Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Hatayspor
25.3%
Draw
15.7%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Hatayspor
vs
1.04
Yeni Malatyaspor
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.6%
4-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).