Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Rio Ave
29.6%
Draw
37.9%
Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Rio Ave
vs
1.26
Nacional
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).