Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.2%
Lugo
29.9%
Draw
46.9%
Andorra
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Lugo
vs
1.20
Andorra
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.2%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).