Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Leverkusen
22.9%
Draw
25.9%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Leverkusen
vs
1.38
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS65.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).