Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Crawley Town
25.3%
Draw
55.3%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Crawley Town
vs
1.49
Exeter
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).