⚽ FootballData
0 – 2
AHT: 01

23 Feb 2025 · 11:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
77.0%
Lechia Gdańsk
12.9%
Draw
10.1%
Puszcza Niepołomice

Expected Goals (xG)

3.40

Lechia Gdańsk

vs
1.29

Puszcza Niepołomice

Markets

BTTS70.3%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.595.1%
Over 2.584.6%
Over 3.568.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
4-1
6.6%
3-0
6.0%
2-0
5.3%
4-0
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
5-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
1-1
4.4%
4-2
4.3%
5-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).