Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.0%
West Brom
22.9%
Draw
71.2%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.33
West Brom
vs
1.70
Burnley
Markets
BTTS23.4%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.8%
0-2
19.0%
0-0
13.8%
0-3
10.8%
1-1
8.0%
1-2
6.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-0
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).