Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Montpellier
25.2%
Draw
43.9%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Montpellier
vs
1.39
Troyes
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).