Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.3%
Birmingham
18.6%
Draw
10.1%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Birmingham
vs
0.53
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS34.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
2-0
16.0%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
8.1%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).