Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.1%
Cremonese
11.9%
Draw
5.0%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
3.02
Cremonese
vs
0.69
Lecco
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
4-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
4-1
5.8%
1-1
5.6%
5-0
5.1%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
3.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).