Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Vallecano
28.7%
Draw
23.1%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Vallecano
vs
0.84
Leganes
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).