Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.5%
Paris FC
20.0%
Draw
65.5%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Paris FC
vs
1.92
Lens
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
8.1%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
0-4
3.9%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).