Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Guingamp
21.3%
Draw
17.6%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Guingamp
vs
0.80
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).