Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Reading
21.6%
Draw
32.8%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Reading
vs
1.43
Oxford
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).