Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.1%
Leverkusen
19.8%
Draw
12.2%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Leverkusen
vs
0.84
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).