Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
La Coruna
24.9%
Draw
18.4%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
La Coruna
vs
0.78
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).