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HHT: 10CSV

09 Dec 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.2%
Heidenheim
27.6%
Draw
23.3%
Darmstadt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Heidenheim

vs
0.98

Darmstadt

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).