Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.2%
Cultural Leonesa
19.2%
Draw
63.6%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Cultural Leonesa
vs
2.23
Santander
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
7.3%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.1%
1-0
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-4
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).