Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Ein Frankfurt
20.5%
Draw
55.1%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Ein Frankfurt
vs
2.35
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS71.7%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-3
5.3%
0-3
4.4%
0-1
4.3%
1-4
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
2-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).