Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Troyes
26.2%
Draw
31.3%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Troyes
vs
1.02
Angers
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).