Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Morecambe
23.8%
Draw
56.4%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Morecambe
vs
1.62
Notts County
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).