Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
M'gladbach
24.1%
Draw
51.5%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
M'gladbach
vs
1.88
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).