Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Juventus
26.9%
Draw
34.2%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Juventus
vs
1.17
Milan
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).