Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Rio Ave
21.3%
Draw
19.3%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Rio Ave
vs
0.96
AVS
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).