Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.2%
Vallecano
21.4%
Draw
62.4%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Vallecano
vs
1.99
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.9%
0-1
10.8%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).